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Past Meat treads precarious path on financial uncertainty

imcxl by imcxl
May 9, 2025
Reading Time: 5 mins read
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Past Meat treads precarious path on financial uncertainty


Past Meat merchandise on show at an area grocery retailer, Los Angeles, California, United States, 5 Might 2023. Credit score: The Picture Social gathering / Shutterstock.com

One has to marvel how for much longer loss-making Past Meat can climate the storm of muted demand for plant-based proteins as financial uncertainty within the US now presents yet one more headwind.

“We noticed a slowdown in consumption because the unsure macroeconomic setting probably exacerbated class challenges,” president and CEO Ethan Brown stated yesterday (7 Might), an element ample sufficient for steering to be scrapped within the first-quarter outcomes announcement.

That steering, offered in February, was for annual gross sales of $320-335m, “with first-quarter web revenues anticipated to be comparable” to the corresponding interval in 2024.

The very fact is, they weren’t. Gross sales fell 9.1% within the opening three months of 2025 to $68.7m. In the identical quarter of final yr, they dropped 18% to $75.6m. One other decline is now anticipated within the new quarter, with Brown pointing to $80-85m, in comparison with $93.2m in Q2 of 2024, once they fell 8.8%.

Alongside yesterday’s outcomes announcement, Past Meat revealed it had secured a $100m financing package deal from Unprocessed Meals, a unit of the non-profit Ahimsa Basis.

Whereas the funding was not a shock in itself, as Past Meat had flagged in February it was in talks to lift more money, the actual fact Ahimsa is prepared to take a punt on the loss-making enterprise maybe was, particularly with shopper demand for plant-based proteins on a shaky path.

Maybe the funding was behind a 0.8% transfer greater within the share worth yesterday, and the actual fact Unprocessed Meals has an choice to take a 12.5% curiosity in Past Meat 30-days from 8 Might.

However at $2.54 on the shut yesterday, the transfer by the Ahimsa-linked agency seems dangerous, when you think about the shares had been buying and selling north of $100 5 years in the past. They’ve misplaced 34% this yr alone, with the decline even bigger during the last 12 months at 69%.

The strike worth for the choice has been set at a minimal of $2 and a most of $3.75. The decrease threshold definitely appears in sight, particularly given Past Meat reported one other quarter of EBITDA and web losses.

“Past Meat is a category-leading enterprise with distinctive merchandise, a robust dedication to diet and ingredient integrity, and a globally recognised model,” Ahimsa president Shaleen Shah stated in a joint assertion yesterday. “This displays our expectation to be invested in Past Meat’s development and success for the long run.”

How lengthy is lengthy is likely to be the final word query.

As Past Meat “sidesteps fairness dilution for now, enterprise erosion is more and more regarding, and it’s laborious to see a forthcoming inflection”, John Baumgartner, a managing director at Japanese funding financial institution Mizuho Securities, wrote yesterday.

US gross sales pressured

Whereas the unsure macroeconomic backdrop, financially pressured shoppers and the implications of tariffs have been frequent themes expressed by US meals producers throughout the present earnings season, Past Meat appears extra uncovered given its class dynamics.

“The corporate is experiencing an elevated degree of uncertainty inside its working setting, which administration believes may have unexpected impacts on the corporate’s precise realised outcomes,” Brown stated as he defined the explanations for the steering withdrawal.

That was evident within the US market, Past Meat’s largest in the case of retail. These gross sales fell 15.4% within the first quarter to $31.4m. And equally in foodservice, gross sales dropped 23.5% to $9.4m.

Worldwide was Past Meat’s saviour, the place the corporate has a extra solidified presence within the out-of-home channel with quick-service eating places, particularly in Europe.

These foodservice gross sales had been up 12.1% at $15.3m, whereas retails gross sales had been extra subdued, up solely 0.8% at $12.7m.

“Enterprise erosion worsens,” was how Baumgartner headed up his analysis observe, apart from worldwide out-of-home.

“Q1 featured a large income miss versus steering offered on the finish of February and EBITDA additionally missed by a big margin. Weak point mirrored incremental class headwinds from macro pressures and income missed our mannequin in three of 4 segments,” he added.

That very same erosion had been seen in China, a market from which Past Meat formally withdrew in February, and consequently incurred prices within the first quarter of $0.9m associated to that withdrawal.

Past Meat cited these prices, together with a non-cash cost of $4.3m associated to “particular strategic choices to extend stock provision for sure stock gadgets”, for the losses in gross revenue and margins.

Gross revenue dipped into the purple to the tune of $1.1m in comparison with a constructive $3.7m a yr earlier. The margin was a damaging 1.5% versus plus 4.9%.

Losses in adjusted EBITDA widened to $42.3m from $32.9m. Past Meat’s web loss was $52.9m, a slight enchancment from the $54.4m loss in the identical quarter of 2024.

“This facility offers us with extra liquidity as we advance our strategic priorities and make investments opportunistically to assist us drive our development plans,” Brown stated within the financing assertion alongside Ahimsa’s Shah.

“We’re happy to welcome a brand new investor who deeply understands our business and is mission-aligned with our plant-based ethos. Along with securing entry to this substantial new financing, we’re persevering with to judge alternatives to additional strengthen our steadiness sheet and finest place our enterprise for the long run.”

Nevertheless, what’s substantial when Past Meat is saddled with $1.1bn in debt, overshadowed by the massive what if ought to reciprocal tariffs ensue within the firm’s worldwide markets?

It does have $115.8m in hand of money and money equivalents however that features unspecified “restricted money”.

“In response to this interruption in our restoration, we’re doubling down on cost-savings initiatives in assist of our purpose of attaining run-rate EBITDA-positive operations by year-end 2026,” Brown stated.

The market awaits.

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Past Meat merchandise on show at an area grocery retailer, Los Angeles, California, United States, 5 Might 2023. Credit score: The Picture Social gathering / Shutterstock.com

One has to marvel how for much longer loss-making Past Meat can climate the storm of muted demand for plant-based proteins as financial uncertainty within the US now presents yet one more headwind.

“We noticed a slowdown in consumption because the unsure macroeconomic setting probably exacerbated class challenges,” president and CEO Ethan Brown stated yesterday (7 Might), an element ample sufficient for steering to be scrapped within the first-quarter outcomes announcement.

That steering, offered in February, was for annual gross sales of $320-335m, “with first-quarter web revenues anticipated to be comparable” to the corresponding interval in 2024.

The very fact is, they weren’t. Gross sales fell 9.1% within the opening three months of 2025 to $68.7m. In the identical quarter of final yr, they dropped 18% to $75.6m. One other decline is now anticipated within the new quarter, with Brown pointing to $80-85m, in comparison with $93.2m in Q2 of 2024, once they fell 8.8%.

Alongside yesterday’s outcomes announcement, Past Meat revealed it had secured a $100m financing package deal from Unprocessed Meals, a unit of the non-profit Ahimsa Basis.

Whereas the funding was not a shock in itself, as Past Meat had flagged in February it was in talks to lift more money, the actual fact Ahimsa is prepared to take a punt on the loss-making enterprise maybe was, particularly with shopper demand for plant-based proteins on a shaky path.

Maybe the funding was behind a 0.8% transfer greater within the share worth yesterday, and the actual fact Unprocessed Meals has an choice to take a 12.5% curiosity in Past Meat 30-days from 8 Might.

However at $2.54 on the shut yesterday, the transfer by the Ahimsa-linked agency seems dangerous, when you think about the shares had been buying and selling north of $100 5 years in the past. They’ve misplaced 34% this yr alone, with the decline even bigger during the last 12 months at 69%.

The strike worth for the choice has been set at a minimal of $2 and a most of $3.75. The decrease threshold definitely appears in sight, particularly given Past Meat reported one other quarter of EBITDA and web losses.

“Past Meat is a category-leading enterprise with distinctive merchandise, a robust dedication to diet and ingredient integrity, and a globally recognised model,” Ahimsa president Shaleen Shah stated in a joint assertion yesterday. “This displays our expectation to be invested in Past Meat’s development and success for the long run.”

How lengthy is lengthy is likely to be the final word query.

As Past Meat “sidesteps fairness dilution for now, enterprise erosion is more and more regarding, and it’s laborious to see a forthcoming inflection”, John Baumgartner, a managing director at Japanese funding financial institution Mizuho Securities, wrote yesterday.

US gross sales pressured

Whereas the unsure macroeconomic backdrop, financially pressured shoppers and the implications of tariffs have been frequent themes expressed by US meals producers throughout the present earnings season, Past Meat appears extra uncovered given its class dynamics.

“The corporate is experiencing an elevated degree of uncertainty inside its working setting, which administration believes may have unexpected impacts on the corporate’s precise realised outcomes,” Brown stated as he defined the explanations for the steering withdrawal.

That was evident within the US market, Past Meat’s largest in the case of retail. These gross sales fell 15.4% within the first quarter to $31.4m. And equally in foodservice, gross sales dropped 23.5% to $9.4m.

Worldwide was Past Meat’s saviour, the place the corporate has a extra solidified presence within the out-of-home channel with quick-service eating places, particularly in Europe.

These foodservice gross sales had been up 12.1% at $15.3m, whereas retails gross sales had been extra subdued, up solely 0.8% at $12.7m.

“Enterprise erosion worsens,” was how Baumgartner headed up his analysis observe, apart from worldwide out-of-home.

“Q1 featured a large income miss versus steering offered on the finish of February and EBITDA additionally missed by a big margin. Weak point mirrored incremental class headwinds from macro pressures and income missed our mannequin in three of 4 segments,” he added.

That very same erosion had been seen in China, a market from which Past Meat formally withdrew in February, and consequently incurred prices within the first quarter of $0.9m associated to that withdrawal.

Past Meat cited these prices, together with a non-cash cost of $4.3m associated to “particular strategic choices to extend stock provision for sure stock gadgets”, for the losses in gross revenue and margins.

Gross revenue dipped into the purple to the tune of $1.1m in comparison with a constructive $3.7m a yr earlier. The margin was a damaging 1.5% versus plus 4.9%.

Losses in adjusted EBITDA widened to $42.3m from $32.9m. Past Meat’s web loss was $52.9m, a slight enchancment from the $54.4m loss in the identical quarter of 2024.

“This facility offers us with extra liquidity as we advance our strategic priorities and make investments opportunistically to assist us drive our development plans,” Brown stated within the financing assertion alongside Ahimsa’s Shah.

“We’re happy to welcome a brand new investor who deeply understands our business and is mission-aligned with our plant-based ethos. Along with securing entry to this substantial new financing, we’re persevering with to judge alternatives to additional strengthen our steadiness sheet and finest place our enterprise for the long run.”

Nevertheless, what’s substantial when Past Meat is saddled with $1.1bn in debt, overshadowed by the massive what if ought to reciprocal tariffs ensue within the firm’s worldwide markets?

It does have $115.8m in hand of money and money equivalents however that features unspecified “restricted money”.

“In response to this interruption in our restoration, we’re doubling down on cost-savings initiatives in assist of our purpose of attaining run-rate EBITDA-positive operations by year-end 2026,” Brown stated.

The market awaits.

Email newsletter icon

Join our day by day information round-up!

Give your corporation an edge with our main business insights.


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